Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.000006 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000010 0.000011
2025-05-25 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000011 0.000013
2025-06-01 0.000004 0.000005 0.000006 0.000008 0.000010 0.000012 0.000015
2025-06-08 0.000004 0.000005 0.000006 0.000008 0.000010 0.000013 0.000018
2025-06-15 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000011 0.000015 0.000022
2025-06-22 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000008 0.000011 0.000016 0.000025
2025-06-29 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000008 0.000011 0.000017 0.000029
2025-07-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000011 0.000018 0.000032
2025-07-13 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000012 0.000020 0.000037
2025-07-20 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000022 0.000044
2025-07-27 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000024 0.000050
2025-08-03 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000026 0.000059
2025-08-10 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000028 0.000069
2025-08-17 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000008 0.000015 0.000031 0.000081
2025-08-24 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000008 0.000015 0.000033 0.000091
2025-08-31 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000008 0.000016 0.000036 0.000106
2025-09-07 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000016 0.000039 0.000125
2025-09-14 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000016 0.000040 0.000139
2025-09-21 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000017 0.000043 0.000160
2025-09-28 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000017 0.000045 0.000176
2025-10-05 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000017 0.000048 0.000205
2025-10-12 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000018 0.000053 0.000247
2025-10-19 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000018 0.000057 0.000289